{"id":3964,"date":"2026-02-25T09:45:48","date_gmt":"2026-02-25T09:45:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/isi.designhouse.co.uk\/insights\/ceic-2\/"},"modified":"2026-03-07T22:33:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-07T22:33:08","slug":"ceic-2-10","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/isi.designhouse.co.uk\/zh-hans\/insights\/ceic-2-10\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010CEIC\u6570\u636e\u900f\u89c6\u3011\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u81ea\u7531\u5316\u653f\u7b56\u63a8\u52a8\u8fdb\u53e3\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5e76\u53d6\u6d88\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5173\u7a0e"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u603b\u7edf\u54c8\u7ef4\u5c14<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">\u00b7<\/span>\u7c73\u83b1\u521a\u521a\u7b7e\u7f72\u4e00\u9879\u7f8e\u963f\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5c06\u6253\u5f00\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u957f\u671f\u5949\u884c\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5927\u95e8\u3002\u6570\u767e\u9879\u4e92\u60e0\u5173\u7a0e\u5c06\u88ab\u524a\u51cf\uff0c\u6db5\u76d6\u5316\u5b66\u54c1\u548c\u673a\u68b0\u7b49\u7c7b\u522b\uff0c\u52a0\u5267\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u56fd\u5185\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u3002\uff08\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u66f4\u591a\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u725b\u8089\u5c06\u51fa\u53e3\u81f3\u7f8e\u56fd\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u662f<a style=\"background-color:transparent;box-sizing:border-box;color:rgb(136, 75, 143);outline:currentcolor !important;text-decoration:none;touch-action:manipulation;\" href=\"https:\/\/insights.ceicdata.com\/Argentina-Mileis-Austerity-Fiscal-Surplus-and-Slowing-Inflation\"><span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\"><strong style=\"box-sizing:border-box;font-weight:bolder;\">\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u7c73\u83b1\u81ea2023\u5e74\u672b\u4e0a\u4efb<\/strong><\/span><\/a>\u4ee5\u6765\u63a8\u52a8\u8d38\u6613\u81ea\u7531\u5316\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u4e3e\u63aa\u3002\u4ed6\u6b64\u524d\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u524a\u51cf\u63aa\u65bd\u65e8\u5728\u5e2e\u52a9\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u9488\u5bf9\u7684\u662f\u5bb6\u7535\u548c<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">iPhone<\/span>\u7b49\u6d88\u8d39\u54c1\u3002\u672c\u6587\u56fe\u8868\u76f4\u89c2\u5448\u73b0\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u8d38\u6613\u81ea\u7531\u5316\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5404\u9886\u57df\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u4ee5\u4e0b\u56fe\u8868\u6240\u793a\uff0c<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">2025<\/span>\u5e74\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u8fdb\u53e3\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3b\u8981\u7531\u6d88\u8d39\u54c1\u548c\u8d44\u672c\u8d27\u7269\u62c9\u52a8\u3002\u6c7d\u8f66\u8fdb\u53e3\u4e5f\u5360\u636e\u663e\u8457\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3002\u8fdb\u53e3\u603b\u989d\u589e\u901f\u5728<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">2<\/span>\u6708\u89e6\u53ca<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">40%<\/span>\u5cf0\u503c\u540e\u6709\u6240\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u4f46\u4f9d\u7136\u4fdd\u6301\u6b63\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/isi.designhouse.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/E688AAE5B18F2026-02-252017.48.00-1.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><em><u>\u70b9\u51fb<\/u><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/insights.ceicdata.com\/CEIC%E6%9C%80%E6%96%B0%E6%8E%A8%E5%87%BA%E7%9A%84%E6%B3%A2%E5%85%B0%E5%86%9C%E4%B8%9A%E6%8C%87%E6%95%B0%E6%98%BE%E7%A4%BA%E9%A3%9F%E5%93%81%E9%80%9A%E8%83%80%E6%94%BE%E7%BC%93\"><em><u>\u8fd9\u91cc<\/u><\/em><\/a><em><u>\u901a\u8fc7CEIC\u6570\u636e\u5e73\u53f0\u67e5\u770b\u56fe\u8868<\/u><\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e00\u6269\u5f20\u89c4\u6a21\u6216\u8bb8\u89e3\u91ca\u4e86\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u901a\u80c0\u663e\u8457\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u56fe\u8868\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/isi.designhouse.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/E688AAE5B18F2026-02-252017.49.37.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><em><u>\u70b9\u51fb<\/u><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/insights.ceicdata.com\/CEIC%E6%9C%80%E6%96%B0%E6%8E%A8%E5%87%BA%E7%9A%84%E6%B3%A2%E5%85%B0%E5%86%9C%E4%B8%9A%E6%8C%87%E6%95%B0%E6%98%BE%E7%A4%BA%E9%A3%9F%E5%93%81%E9%80%9A%E8%83%80%E6%94%BE%E7%BC%93\"><em><u>\u8fd9\u91cc<\/u><\/em><\/a><em><u>\u901a\u8fc7CEIC\u6570\u636e\u5e73\u53f0\u67e5\u770b\u56fe\u8868<\/u><\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u53d6\u6d88\u5173\u7a0e\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u52a9\u63a8\u4e86\u79c1\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u3002\u672c\u56fe\u8868\u91c7\u7528\u53ef\u5f00\u652f\u7968\u5b58\u6b3e\u8d26\u6237\u4ea4\u6613\u989d\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u6307\u6807\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u901a\u80c0\u8c03\u6574\u3002\uff08\u9274\u4e8e\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u5e76\u672a\u6b63\u5f0f\u53d1\u5e03\u96f6\u552e\u8d38\u6613\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u8861\u91cf\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u652f\u51fa\u7684\u6709\u6548\u4ee3\u7406\u6307\u6807\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/isi.designhouse.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/E688AAE5B18F2026-02-252017.59.36.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><em><u>\u70b9\u51fb<\/u><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/insights.ceicdata.com\/CEIC%E6%9C%80%E6%96%B0%E6%8E%A8%E5%87%BA%E7%9A%84%E6%B3%A2%E5%85%B0%E5%86%9C%E4%B8%9A%E6%8C%87%E6%95%B0%E6%98%BE%E7%A4%BA%E9%A3%9F%E5%93%81%E9%80%9A%E8%83%80%E6%94%BE%E7%BC%93\"><em><u>\u8fd9\u91cc<\/u><\/em><\/a><em><u>\u901a\u8fc7CEIC\u6570\u636e\u5e73\u53f0\u67e5\u770b\u56fe\u8868<\/u><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">2026<\/span>\u5e74\u8fc4\u4eca\u60c5\u51b5\u5982\u4f55\uff1f\u5982\u6b64\u56fe\u8868\u6240\u793a\uff0c\u53e6\u7c7b\u9ad8\u9891\u822a\u8fd0\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u53ef\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u4ee3\u7406\u6307\u6807\u3002<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">*2025<\/span>\u5e74\u672b\u7684\u8239\u8236\u4ea4\u901a\u4f4e\u6f6e\u5df2\u8d8b\u4e8e\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u6574\u4f53\u8d38\u6613\u6709\u6e29\u548c\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\uff08\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fd1\u671f\u8fdb\u53e3\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u53bb\u5e74\u672b\u6574\u4f53\u8d38\u6613\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u8fd9\u4ea6\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u540c\u6bd4\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e2d<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">2024<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u57fa\u6570\u6548\u5e94\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/isi.designhouse.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/E688AAE5B18F2026-02-252018.01.06.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><em><u>\u70b9\u51fb<\/u><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/insights.ceicdata.com\/CEIC%E6%9C%80%E6%96%B0%E6%8E%A8%E5%87%BA%E7%9A%84%E6%B3%A2%E5%85%B0%E5%86%9C%E4%B8%9A%E6%8C%87%E6%95%B0%E6%98%BE%E7%A4%BA%E9%A3%9F%E5%93%81%E9%80%9A%E8%83%80%E6%94%BE%E7%BC%93\"><em><u>\u8fd9\u91cc<\/u><\/em><\/a><em><u>\u901a\u8fc7CEIC\u6570\u636e\u5e73\u53f0\u67e5\u770b\u56fe\u8868<\/u><\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e3b\u8981\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd\uff0c\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u901a\u5e38\u4fdd\u6301\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\u3002\u81ea\u7c73\u83b1\u5f00\u59cb\u653e\u5bbd\u5173\u7a0e\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u987a\u5dee\u6709\u6240\u6536\u7a84\uff0c\u4f46\u5728<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">2025<\/span>\u5168\u5e74\u4ecd\u4e3a\u6b63\u503c\u3002\u53ef\u4ee5\u80af\u5b9a\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">2025<\/span>\u5e74\u8fdb\u53e3\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u8fdb\u53e3\u5360<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">GDP<\/span>\u6bd4\u91cd\u4ecd\u4ec5\u7ea6<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">12%<\/span>\uff0c\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u5357\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bb6\u76f8\u6bd4\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u8f83\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8003\u8651\u5230\u7279\u6717\u666e\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u5bf9\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u63d0\u9ad8\u800c\u975e\u524a\u51cf\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u7f8e\u963f\u5173\u7cfb\u53ef\u8c13\u5f02\u4f8b\u3002\u6b64\u9879\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">2024<\/span>\u5e74<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">9<\/span>\u6708\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fd8\u5bf9\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u63d0\u4f9b\u91d1\u878d\u652f\u6301\u4ee5\u7a33\u5b9a\u6bd4\u7d22\uff1b\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u957f\u65af\u79d1\u7279\u00b7\u8d1d\u68ee\u7279\u8fd1\u671f\u5c06\u6b64\u4e3e\u5f62\u5bb9\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">\u201c<\/span>\u672c\u5792\u6253<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">\u201d<\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">*<\/span>\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u6e2f\u53e3\u505c\u9760\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e0e\u6ede\u540e<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">1<\/span>\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u603b\u989d\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff08<span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;\">1<\/span>\u4e2a\u6708\u6ede\u540e\u671f\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u8c03\u6574\u6e2f\u53e3\u505c\u9760\u4e0e\u6d77\u5173\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5dee\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u70b9\u51fb<\/strong><a 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